Jeb Bush - like Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders - made an appearance at the Iowa State Fair on Saturday. In this video, Governor Bush (to no one's surprise) criticizes Mrs. Clinton regarding her use of a private server with official Government emails during her tenure as Secretary of State.
Later in the interview, beginning at 1:44, Kelly O'Donnell (reporter) asks, "I've watched you describe yourself as 'Not a grievance candidate' - and yet the mood of voters is anger ... "
Governor Bush: "Yeah."
O'Donnell: "Are you out of step with where voters are?"
Bush: "I - Look, I, I want to serve. I want to be a president that brings us together. I think over the long haul there will be a transformation, people will say, 'Who's going to sit behind the big desk to make the changes necessary for our country to move forward?' If it's about appealing to peoples' angst, I don't think I gonna [pause] win. If it's about with passion and commitment and high energy - saying that, 'We can rise up again - We can fix these things and America can be on the rise again' - I believe I'm going to be a pretty formidable candidate."
O'Donnell: "The mood is changeable for the public?"
Bush: "Absolutely, it is, it always - look [nose rub/nose scratch during 2:25 - 2:26] we're very, very early on ....."
While a nose rub or nose scratch does not always indicate deception - in this specific context, when Gov. Bush is asked a "yes, no or maybe type-question" - and in the midst of answering he touches his nose - then there is an extremely high likelihood that Jeb is telling a lie. Governor Bush has at the minimum, very significant trepidation as to whether "The mood is changeable for the public". Thus he most likely fears Donald Trump or even Bernie Sanders more than Hillary Clinton.
Nonverbal Communication Analysis No. 3279: Jeb Bush, Donald Trump and the Iowa State Fair
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